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LVMH’s sharpest sales drop since 2008 is more than a fashion story. Luxury’s downturn has historically foreshadowed recessions, and today it coincides with weakening confidence, asset stress, and slowing global demand.

Johnson & Johnson dropped $14.6 billion on a company whose value rests almost entirely on one psychiatric drug. Caplyta may be a blockbuster, or it may be the most expensive overreach in biotech since 2022. This is a high-risk, high-premium gamble at a moment when Big Pharma can’t afford missteps.

LVMH’s sharpest sales drop since 2008 is more than a fashion story. Luxury’s downturn has historically foreshadowed recessions, and today it coincides with weakening confidence, asset stress, and slowing global demand.

As Vice Chairman of the Financial Services Committee, Tim Moore helps set the rules for America’s markets. He is also betting millions that those markets, and the small businesses they support, are about to fail.